Early Release of EIA Annual Energy Outlook
The Annual Energy Outlook presents a midterm forecast and analysis of US energy supply, demand, and prices through 2030. The projections are based on results from the Energy Information Administration's National Energy Modeling System. The Early Release includes the reference case. The full publication, to be released in early 2006, will include complete documentation and additional cases examining energy markets.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/pdf/earlyrelease.pdf
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/pdf/earlyrelease.pdf
posted by Rigman at
7:52 AM
1 Comments:
Interesting that the projection for "transportation" use doesn't look very elastic and it continues to far outpace the other areas by 2030. Clearly, this is where conservation has to take place.
Given that the "petroleum" growth is higher than natural gas, the EIA is predicting status quo for fuels used in transport. I believe natural gas has the ability to displace crude oil in the transportation chain (through GTL processes, etc.), such that the "flat" curve for natural gas in the later years can move up sharply, compared to crude oil.
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Anonymous, at 2:54 PM
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